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CAC 40 Forecast: French Index Breaks Higher as Risk Appetite Improves

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The Parisian CAC has rallied quite nicely during the trading session on Wednesday as we have broken through both the 200-day EMA and the 50-day EMA indicators.

  • By doing so, market participants have tried to push this market towards the 8200-euro level, although that has offered a little bit of resistance.

CAC 40 Forecast Today 21/05: French Index Breaks Higher (Chart)

The luxury sector in France has been a primary source of volatility recently after dragging the index due to flattening global earnings and slower consumer spending. Any stabilization here will cause a powerful upside thrust. I think ultimately this is a market that will remain very noisy.

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Industrial And Aerospace Factors

And of course, you have to keep in mind that it's not just luxury that moves the French markets. We also have industrials and aerospace. And one of the companies that come into play when looking at the Parisian index is Airbus, which continues to benefit from an enormous commercial order backlog and defense expansions in Europe, despite the fact that there are near-term supply chain constraints.

Energy of course has done well, but really, I think the biggest thing that was the story on Wednesday was the fact that it looks like the Americans and the Iranians are at least pretending to make some type of progress, and that's exactly what the market wants to see overall.

With this, I think short-term pullbacks offer buying opportunities in the CAC 40, but I also recognize that it's a very volatile time, so the most important thing you can do is keep your position size reasonable. As long as you can do that, you should be okay here. I think eventually we try to get to the 8400-euro level. I have no interest in shorting this index.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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