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Silver Forecast: Drops as Monday Open Gap Fills

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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We’ve seen a lot of downward pressure in the silver market for a while, and it continues to be a situation where the US dollar continues to be the biggest issue that most traders are facing.

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Silver

The silver market fell during the trading session on Tuesday as we have now filled the gap from the Monday open. The $60 level continues to be a level that I think a lot of traders are watching, but quite frankly, the fact that silver is falling is not a huge surprise in this environment, as the US dollar is strengthening against many currencies, and rates, of course, continue to rise.

We've been in a downtrend for silver for some time, and I don't think that changes. At least not in the short term. The 200-day EMA is at the $67.08 level, and I think that is a bit of a barrier.

Support Floors and the Greenback Impact

Underneath current trading, we have the $57 level offering support, and a breakdown below there could really send silver much lower, perhaps down to the $50 level. All things being equal, I believe that this is a market that, at the first signs of exhaustion, traders will look to get out of it if they are long.

Breaking above the $70 level opens up the possibility of a bigger move, but I think it would take a lot of attitude adjustment to make that happen. I think interest rates would probably have to drop, and at the very least, the US dollar would have to give back some of its strength. I think in the longer term, we have silver as an asset that probably goes much higher, but the reality is that in the meantime, we're not focusing on the demand for silver in the future; we're more worried about the currency implications of the greenback being so strong.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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