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USD/CAD Forecast: Pair Squeezes Between Key EMAs as Yields Drive Volatility

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The US dollar has found itself a little bit choppy during the trading session here on Wednesday as traders are just simply trying to sort out where to go next.

  • Ultimately, I think this is a market that will remain noisy right around this area because quite frankly, the 1.3750 level is an area that has been historically important for some time, and I just don't see how that changes anytime soon.

Keep in mind that interest rates rising and falling will have an outsized influence on the USD/CAD market and with the US interest rates initially shooting higher and then dropping during the day this has most certainly played out in the US dollar against the Canadian dollar market.

Trading Between the EMAs

USD/CAD Forecast Today 21/05: Choppy at 1.3750 (Chart)

All things being equal, this is an area that previously has been important, and we are trading between the 50-day EMA and the 200-day EMA indicators, something that typically causes some type of squeeze eventually.

So, with this I'm watching very closely if we can break above the 200-day EMA I'm very bullish to this pair if we break down below the 50-day EMA then I think we could drop to the 1.36 level.

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Keep an eye on that 10-year yield in America. It got really outsized to the upside earlier in the session, but I think we are starting to see the market try to push back against that maybe the fear is starting to subside a little bit we'll just have to watch.

It's a fluid situation, it's a dangerous situation, size your trades accordingly.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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