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EUR/USD Forex Signal: Bearish Price Channel Hitting Support

By Adam Lemon
Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked with...

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My previous EUR/USD signal on 25th March was not triggered.

Today’s EUR/USD Signals

  • Risk 0.75%.

  • Trades must be taken prior to 5pm London time today.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe immediately upon the next touch of $1.1719, $1.1740, or $1.1757.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe immediately upon the next touch of $1.1682, $1.1678, or $1.1669.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

EUR/USD Analysis

In my previous EUR/USD analysis a little more than one month ago, I thought that the EUR/USD currency pair was looking a little bullish, with $1.1576 very pivotal.

This was not a great call for the day.

The technical picture here is mixed, with a wide bearish descending price channel pushing the price lower over several days. However, the price just got near a cluster of support levels which start at $1.1682 and these seem to have halted the slide in the price for now.

I think the price is likely to range today between the nearest support and resistance levels as there is not much going on in the market.

I would take a conservative long trade from a bullish bounce at $1.1682, or a short trade from a bearish rejection of the resistance level at $1.1719 later, especially if at the time it is confluent with the descending channel upper trend line which I have drawn within the price chart below.

(image28042026eurusd)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart?symbol=FX%3AEURUSD

There is nothing of high importance scheduled today concerning either the Euro or the US Dollar.

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Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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