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GBP/USD Forex Signal: Room to Fall

By Adam Lemon
Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked with...

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My previous GBP/USD signal yesterday was not triggered.

Today’s GBP/USD Signals

  • Risk 0.75%.

  • Trades may only be taken prior to 5pm London time today.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe immediately upon the next touch of $1.3504, $1.3467, or $1.3432.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 25 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 25 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe immediately upon the next touch of $1.3536, $1.3549, or $1.3603.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 25 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 25 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

I wrote in my previous GBP/USD forecast yesterday that I thought the best opportunities were to trade any rejections of extremes of the range between $1.3467 and $1.3550. I thought this price area was likely to hold during the day’s London session.

I was more or less correct about that, but there was no trade entry setup, and as the London session came to an end the price broke above $1.3550, briefly used that level as support, but then fell back and has since broken down through two former support levels.

The price is showing short-term bearish momentum and could now fall as far as $1.3504 before reaching a key support level.

A bullish bounce there, especially if it rejects the round number at $1.3500 at the same time, could be a good long trade, at least for a scalp.

There is nothing of high importance scheduled today regarding the GBP. Concerning the USD, there will be a release of Unemployment Claims at 1:30pm London time.

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Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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