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EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Control Awaits Signals from US Monetary Policy Officials

By Mahmoud Abdallah

Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of tra...

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EUR/USD Analysis Summary Today

  • Overall Trend: : Bearish
  • Support Levels for EUR/USD Today: 1.1530 – 1.1480 – 1.1400
  • Resistance Levels for EUR/USD Today: 1.1600 – 1.1690 – 1.1770

EUR/USD Analysis 12/11: Bearish Control Awaits Signals (graph)

EUR/USD Trading Signals:

  • Buy EUR/USD from the support level of 1.1480 with a target of 1.1700 and a stop-loss at 1.1400.
  • Sell EUR/USD from the resistance level of 1.1700 with a target of 1.1500 and a stop-loss at 1.1780.

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD Today:

As expected, the EUR/USD pair remained within a narrow range, trending downwards near the psychological support level of 1.1500. During Wednesday's trading session, November 12, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is currently trading lower around the 1.1585 level, awaiting statements from several US Federal Reserve officials. Financial markets are currently experiencing a setback due to the ongoing US government shutdown, which is preventing the release of important economic data that could influence the Fed's future policy, particularly US labor market figures.

Prior to those statements, the Euro/Dollar price will be influenced by the announcement of the German inflation reading at 09:00 AM Egypt time, amid expectations of stable inflation rates for the Eurozone's largest economy.

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EUR/USD Trading Scenarios for the Coming Days:

The scenario of a decline in the Euro/Dollar via trusted trading company platforms is the most prominent for the price performance on the daily chart above. The psychological level of 1.1500 will remain an important supporter for the bears' control over the trend, thus setting the stage for stronger downward breakouts, until technical indicators reach strongly oversold levels. Currently, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around a reading of 48, below the neutral line, which confirms the downward momentum. At the same time, the MACD indicator lines have paused their upward turn, awaiting positive momentum or a strong return to the bearish path. The support levels of 1.1520 and 1.1460 will remain legitimate targets for the bears if the pressure factors on the Euro/Dollar price continue.

The scenario of a Euro/Dollar rally in the coming days on the same daily timeframe requires a move towards the psychological resistance of 1.1800. Otherwise, trading the Euro against the Dollar will steadily lean downward. Keep in mind that investor sentiment will only be strongly affected if the US government shutdown is ended; otherwise, the Euro/Dollar price will remain in its current range until further notice.

Trading Tips:

Beware of currency price movements in narrow ranges for several trading sessions in a row, as this is technically followed by a strong movement in one of the two directions, depending on the influencing factors.

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Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of trading for his audience.

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