Tuesday, October 14, 2025: Gold Forecast and Analysis of the price of gold XAU/USD today
Today’s Gold Analysis Overview:
- The overall of Gold Trend: Strongly bullish.
- Today's Gold Support Points: $4070 – $4020 – $3960 per ounce.
- Today's Gold Resistance Points: $4185 – $4220 – $4280 per ounce.
Today's Gold Trading Signals:
- Sell Gold from the resistance level of $4200, with a target of $3980 and a stop-loss at $4240.
- Buy Gold from the support level of $4030, with a target of $4140 and a stop-loss at $4000.
Technical Analysis of Gold Price (XAU/USD) Today:
A new all-time high has been recorded by the gold price index today, Tuesday, October 14, 2025. According to gold trading platforms, spot gold prices rose to the resistance level of $4180 per ounce, a new historical record for the gold trading market. The positive momentum for gold bulls was further fueled by increasing trade tensions between the world's two largest economies, the United States and China, which has increased investor demand for safe-haven assets, primarily gold. We have previously mentioned in gold's technical analyses that these tensions are one of the most significant drivers of gold's strength, thus setting the stage for new record-breaking bullish breakouts, despite all technical indicators reaching extreme overbought levels.
According to gold trading on the daily chart, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 81, well away from the overbought line. At the same time, the MACD indicator closed at 12.26, in a sharp overbought zone. Therefore, any profit-taking opportunities will be strong and sharp. According to commodity trading experts, one of the main drivers of gold price increases has come from expectations of further US interest rate cuts, which has increased the yellow metal's appeal compared to fixed income. With gold prices surpassing $4,000 per ounce, prices have risen more than 54% since the beginning of the year. They noted that silver prices have also risen, outpacing gold's gains this year. However, if things go differently, such as inflation not declining as expected, gold prices could come under pressure.
In general, the next upside price objective for bulls is a close above strong resistance at $4,200.00 per ounce. Obviously, the next downside price objective for bears in the near term is to push futures prices below strong technical support at $3,900.00 per ounce.
Trading Tips:
Dear TradersUp trader, we still don't recommend buying gold at record highs. Instead, consider selling, but in several trades with different entry levels and without risk. Expect profit-taking, as these sales will be strong and violent if they occur.
Top Forex Brokers
Gold's gains have coincided with a time when the US dollar is struggling to find direction, as investors await statements from the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, later today, Tuesday. Powell is scheduled to speak at the National Association for Business Economics annual meeting in Philadelphia at 16:20 GMT. Investors will be watching for any hints about the expected pace of US interest rate cuts after the Federal Reserve resumed its rate-cutting cycle in September.
Meanwhile, this comes amid the ongoing US government shutdown, delaying the release of official data on which the Federal Reserve relies in its policy decisions. Investors are also monitoring US-China trade relations after Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on China. Finally, the US and China will begin imposing new port fees on each other's ships on Tuesday.
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