Monday, October 13, 2025: Gold Forecast and Analysis of the price of gold XAU/USD today
Today’s Gold Analysis Overview:
- The overall of Gold Trend: Still Bullish.
- Today's Gold Support Points: $3980 – $3930 – $3860 per ounce.
- Today's Gold Resistance Points: $4065 – $4090 – $4130 per ounce.
Today's Gold Trading Signals:
- Sell gold from the resistance level of $4110, with a target of $3900 and a stop loss at $4140.
- Buy gold from the support level of $3950, with a target of $4060 and a stop loss at $3920.
Technical Analysis of Gold Price (XAU/USD) Today:
Gold bulls have once again stabilized above the historic psychological resistance of $4000 per ounce, following a period of limited profit-taking sales after gold prices reached an all-time high of $4059 per ounce. According to gold trading platforms, the recent sell-off did not extend beyond the $3944 per ounce level. Moreover, the previous week's trading closed with the price stable around the $4018 per ounce resistance.
A positive start is expected for the gold price in the new week amid renewed fears of a global economic recession, driven by the continuing US government shutdown and the revival of the trade conflict between the United States and China. This follows a threat from Trump at the end of last week to impose harsh customs tariffs on Chinese imports starting next month, which increases investor demand for safe-haven assets, led by gold.
Will gold prices rise in the coming days?
According to gold analysts, the outlook remains positive for the gold index to continue its record-breaking bullish breakouts, especially with stability above the $4000 per ounce resistance. As mentioned before, gold investors will remain focused on the factors driving the market's gains, while ignoring technical indicators reaching overbought levels.
XAU/USD (Daily Chart)
According to commodity market experts, short-term technical indicators suggest the possibility of a correction if prices fall below the $3950 per ounce support level. However, looking ahead, developments related to the US government shutdown and a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell could affect the near-term outlook for gold. In general, if US political risks remain a key theme, this could push the gold price index above the $4000 level, with the prospect of interest rate cuts reinforcing the upward trend.
Top Forex Brokers
Regarding factors influencing the gold market: with the fragility of peace in the Middle East, renewed drone and missile attacks on Ukraine, the ongoing US government shutdown, a weak US dollar, and another interest rate cut at the end of the month, the direction for gold is clear. Carefully, do not miss the opportunity to consistently buy gold.
Dear reader, keep in mind that long-term cash flows are flowing into gold, and buyers are reluctant to relinquish control, despite the gold price rising by more than 52% this year. Even at these historically high levels of overbought gold, the gold market is gaining renewed momentum from the retail market, which was absent at previous peaks, such as in 2011.
Gold bullion has boomed in recent months, supported by concerns about inflation expectations and the outlook for major currencies. These factors include the US dollar, which has weakened due to concerns that US President Trump is reversing the post-war economic order. Geopolitical tensions, including the war between Russia and Ukraine, are also boosting gold prices.
Trading Tips:
Dear TradersUp trader, we advise buying gold on every significant price dip. Ultimately, Renewed global trade and geopolitical tensions provide permanent support for gold's gains.
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