The USD/MXN is near 18.36250 this morning, this as the currency pair traverses its lower near-term realms and signals to day traders who have a belief in more bearish sentiment that there may be an opportunity.
The lower price action which developed on Friday before going into the weekend with the USD/MXN created a test of depths seen on the 9th of October. This morning’s price for the USD/MXN is near the 18.36250 ratio depending on the bids and asks seen, speculators should also be aware of the large spread in early price action as the week begins. The USD/MXN traded at a high of nearly 18.62800 on Tuesday of last week, but rapidly reversed from the high.
Choppy conditions have been seen in the USD/MXN like other major currency pairs. Financial institutions continue to show a high level of caution in the midst of murky conditions, this caused by rhetoric from the U.S White House regarding tariffs and the U.S government shutdown which looks like it will continue into this week unsolved. The USD/MXN’s ability to traverse lower and break below the 18.40000 mark early on Friday and sustain lows is intriguing.
Opening USD/MXN Price Action Early
The USD/MXN does have the ability to move rather fast. This morning’s opening has shown rather solid results within the lower elements of the near-term range for the currency pair, perhaps signaling that financial institutions remain comfortable with lower depths. Day traders may believe momentum will take the USD/MXN back to values seen in early October when values below 18.31000 were being challenged rather consistently.
However, before day traders get too optimistic about more downside and the ability to target lower support, they should understand the broad Forex market continues to show signs of rather unsteady sentiment. Choppy conditions have persisted the past couple of weeks. The U.S government shutdown is likely not the entire reason for the rather range bound choppiness. The U.S Fed is hovering in the distance. Next week’s FOMC decision from the Federal Reserve has likely seen their expected interest rate cut factored into the USD/MXN already.
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Fed Lack of Clarity Coming for the USD/MXN Next Week
The question is what the Fed will say during their FOMC Statement. That is where things will grow very interesting, particularly if the U.S shutdown is still in effect during the meeting.
- This because the Fed’s data will be limited while making their decision next week due to the closure of U.S economic data offices and no reporting.
- Meaning the Fed will be short on data outlooks for November and December, meaning they will likely offer a unclear picture regarding their own sentiment next week.
- The USD/MXN could remain rather choppy because of this murkiness.
- The desire by traders to seek lower depths is understandable, but they should not try to step out in front of financial institutions before the next big waves of momentum are signalled.
- Quick hitting targets should be used by day traders in the USD/MXN.
USD/MXN Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 18.37600
Current Support: 18.39900
High Target: 18.36030
Low Target: 18.31000
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