- The USD/BRL closed near the 5.3112 ratio yesterday as the currency pair maintained its bearish stance, but support has proven to be durable below and speculative trading likely awaits today.
Day traders pursuing the USD/BRL may get to witness a unique opening in the currency pair today. The USD/BRL closed near the 5.3112 mark yesterday, this as downwards momentum developed after Friday’s highs around 5.3640. The bearish movement in the USD/BRL over the past handful of months has been evident via technical charts. However, taking advantage of the lower trend has likely not been easy for speculators who are vulnerable to small reversals in value to the USD/BRL because of too much leverage and perhaps limited funds.
The broad Forex market the past handful of hours has seen the USD get slightly stronger against major currencies like the EUR, GBP and JPY, thus making today’s opening in the USD/BRL potentially a candidate for a slight gap higher. If a move ensues upwards ensues this will deliver yet another speculative opportunity for day traders who might believe a return to USD/BRL lower depths should be expected.
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Support Levels and Caution in the USD/BRL
Last Tuesday in the USD/BRL did see trading around the 5.2800 vicinity, but when the currency pair opened last Wednesday values around the 5.3175 ratio developed quickly. This correlation to yesterday’s close and last Wednesday’s values is pointed out because of the U.S government shutdown. While financial institutions appear to be leaning into notions of a lower USD/BRL, cautious financial institutions likely do not want to speculate too much in the near-term on potential values. Consolidation has occurred.
The 5.3000 level continues to act as a rather strong target for USD/BRL traders, but it has also clearly pushed the currency pair higher like a magnet when it is challenged. The USD/BRL is likely to remain in a rather tight range until additional impetus is delivered into Forex. Financial institutions believe the U.S Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in late October, but a lot of this has already been factored into the USD/BRL.
Short-Term USD/BRL Speculation
Traders attempting to pursue the USD/BRL should be on the lookout for a slight gap higher upon the opening of the currency pair today.
- If a step upwards doesn’t occur, this could be a signal that financial institutions are leaning heavily into a notion the USD/BRL should go lower.
- However, support around the 5.3000 area until penetrated below and sustained should be treated with respect by day traders.
- Speculators who want to pursue higher values in the USD/BRL cannot be blamed either, but quick hitting wagers which are not too ambitious are likely the best objective.
- Aiming for values around the 5.3400 to 5.3500 marks could be intriguing.
- Today’s opening in the USD/BRL will provide some technical insights about sentiment that should be monitored.
Brazilian Real Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 5.3190
Current Support: 5.3090
High Target: 5.3550
Low Target: 5.3010
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