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XAU/USD Gold Price Analysis Today: Gold Bulls Ready for New Record Breakouts

By Mahmoud Abdallah

Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of tra...

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Tuesday, October 7, 2025. Gold Forecast and Analysis of the price of gold XAU/USD today

Today’s Gold Analysis Overview:

  • The overall of Gold Trend: Strongly Bullish
  • Today's Gold Support Levels: $3930 – $3900 – $3860 per ounce.
  • Gold Resistance Levels Today: $3980 – $4020 – $4070 per ounce.

Today's Gold Trading Signals:

  • Sell Gold from the $4000 resistance level. Target $3840, Stop-Loss $4050.
  • Buy Gold from the $3860 support level. Target $3980, Stop-Loss $3830.

Technical Analysis of Gold Price (XAU/USD) Today:

The continued weakness in investor sentiment amid the US government shutdown is increasing demand for gold as a safe haven. According to gold trading platforms, the gold price index rose today, Tuesday, October 7, 2025, to the $3977 per ounce resistance level—the highest in the history of the gold price—and is the closest point to testing the historical resistance of $4000 per ounce, which commodity market experts have increasingly predicted is imminent.

Meanwhile, the gold trading market remains strongly supported for an uptrend. Obviously, this comes as the US government shutdown enters its seventh day with no resolution in sight. According to currency market trades, the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 0.2% to 98.34. The US government closure has exacerbated uncertainty in financial markets, leading to the delay of US economic data crucial for the Federal Reserve’s decision-making process.

However, traders still expect two additional US interest rate cuts this year. Meanwhile, political tensions in France and ongoing geopolitical risks continue to boost demand for safe havens, with gold being among the most important.

Regarding the future of gold prices in the coming months, Goldman Sachs raised its December 2026 gold price forecast to $4,900 per ounce from $4,300 previously, citing inflows into exchange-traded funds and purchases from global central banks.

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Trading Tips:

Dear TradersUp trader, the gold trend will remain strongly bullish for a longer period of time, and therefore, the strategy of buying gold on every sharp price pullback remains the best approach.

Global Stock Markets Today

During today's trading session on Tuesday, via stock trading platforms, US S&P 500 futures fell by 0.2%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 0.2%. Futures changes do not necessarily predict price movements after the opening bell.

In European markets, the STOXX Europe 600 index was flat in morning trading. According to share prices, Bridgepoint Group shares rose 4.3% and Skanska Ceres B shares rose 4.2%. In contrast, B&M European Value Retail shares lost 13.8%, and Naturgy Energy Group shares fell 3.6%. The UK's FTSE 100 index rose 0.1%. Other European stocks were mixed, with France's CAC 40 remaining flat and Germany's DAX rising 0.1%.

In commodity markets, Brent crude prices rose 0.2% to $65.61 per barrel, and West Texas Intermediate crude prices rose 0.2% to $61.81 per barrel. The European benchmark natural gas price, the Dutch TTF futures contract, rose 1.3% to €33.53 per megawatt-hour.

On the bond front, the yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond rose by one basis point to 2.734% from 2.723%, and the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond rose by one basis point to 4.167% from 4.152%. Also, Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.

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Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of trading for his audience.

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