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AUD/USD Forex Signal: Consolidation Continues

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked with...

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My previous AUD/USD signal on 16th October produced a losing long trade from the bullish reversal at $0.6472.

Today’s AUD/USD Signals

Risk 0.25%
Trades must be entered before 5pm Tokyo time Friday.

AUD/USD Forex Signal 22/10: Consolidation Continues (Chart)

Short Trade Ideas

  • Go short following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of $0.6510, $0.6541, or $0.6559.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Go long following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of $0.6463, $0.6455, or $0.6443.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

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The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

AUD/USD Analysis

In my previous AUD/USD forecast last Thursday, I wrote that the round number at $0.6500 was likely to be the day’s pivotal point, but I didn’t think the price would run far either side of that line. I was hoping for a short trade in that area. I was close and on the right track, but the highs were just a bit too high for that to set up.

The technical picture has become very dull, for almost 10 days we have seen a simple consolidation pattern playing out within a range of about 120 pips.

However, we do still have this same resistance level from my previous forecast in play at $0.6510 which might provide an opportunity for another short trade, as the price is near the top of the consolidation range I noted earlier, between $0.6440 and $0.6525.

There is nothing of high importance scheduled today concerning either the AUD or the USD.

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Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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