The USD/BRL continues to operate within a rather known range, the currency pair closed around 5.4685 yesterday, this after experiencing a spike higher on its Tuesday open.
The USD/BRL continues to offer speculators an opportunity to wager on a known technical range. The past few days of trading have seen the USD/BRL climb from a low of nearly 5.3950 seen last Thursday up until yesterday’s close around 5.4685. Opening gaps in the USD/BRL continue to show volatility and yesterday’s early high of nearly 5.5017 should be used as a cautionary sign.
Although technically attractive, the USD/BRL should not be treated carelessly by Forex traders. The currency pair has maintained a correlation to the broad Forex market, but its doesn’t exactly dance in exact step with larger currency pairs intraday. Domestic fiscal and political shadows for the meantime have seemingly been pushed to the side by financial institutions in Brazil, but the USD/BRL likely still has a risk premium factored into its value.
5.4000 to 5.5000 with Occasional Outliers
While there are no guarantees in Forex and the USD/BRL, the range between 5.4000 and 5.50000 continues to dominate the known sphere for speculators. Pursuit of the USD/BRL does have dangers for those without deep pockets, these speculators should wait for the currency pair to open before putting in their orders, this to avoid the tumult of volatility.
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However, for those with some money in their accounts and the capability to use conservative leverage along with patience, the opportunity to have working position from the previous day and into USD/BRL opening’s is intriguing. Monday’s close around the 5.4400 level and Tuesday’s opening near 4.4600 is an example of the potential gaps a trader can take advantage of in the USD/BRL. However, in order to achieve this it means yesterday’s position needed to have a buying order working from the previous day. If a working order had a selling order still be maintained going into yesterday’s trading, then losses would have hit the speculator’s account.
Speculative Short-Term Bets on the USD/BRL
This is wagering ladies and gentlemen. The realm of the USD/BRL remains rather tight and appears to be shifting on near-term sentiment regarding the Federal Reserve as financial institutions look towards the coming weeks.
- This Friday the U.S will release is Non-Farm Employment Change numbers and the results will cause more mayhem for the USD/BRL.
- Until then traders should be prepared for a test of the known range.
- Selling the USD/BRL around 4.4720 to 4.4800 with conservative leverage and looking for downside into tomorrow may be a logical wager.
- However, as the jobs numbers approach it is also possible financial institutions will become more conservative.
- Risk appetite has shown signs of being anxious early this week, traders need to remain cautious.
Brazilian Real Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 5.4700
Current Support: 5.4620
High Target: 5.4980
Low Target: 5.4420
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