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BTC/USD Forecast: Struggles to Bounce

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • Bitcoin has been very quiet during the trading session on Friday, as we are sitting just below the $110,000 level, but more importantly, just simply have failed to turn things around to fight back against the nasty candlestick from the Thursday session.
  • The $110,000 level looks as if it is going to offer a little bit of resistance, and I think if we were to break above that level, then it would confirm the overall consolidation area, which I think sees the $107,000 level as significant support, especially as the 200 Day EMA is racing in that general direction.

BTC/USD Forecast 29/09: Struggles to Bounce (Chart)

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If we were to close the day above the $110,000 level, then I think you have the opportunity of a bounce, perhaps reaching to the 50 Day EMA before it is all said and done. If we can break above there, then the $117,000 level is a target. We have been in a bit of a rectangle as of late, but it is worth noting that Bitcoin simply doesn’t seem to be willing to take off to the upside quite yet. It’s essentially a flat market with more of a “meh” attitude at the moment, mainly I believe driven by the fact that institutional money isn’t as excited about new shiny toy as it once was.

Furthermore, keep in mind that the Federal Reserve monetary policy is a bit murky at the moment, and that has people a bit concerned about whether or not the monetary policy is “loose enough” for people to get excited about alternative investments like this market. The ETF is now a major driver of Bitcoin price, and therefore you need to think about how Wall Street will be behaving going forward in this environment.

The attitude at the moment is one that is in a bit of flux, and therefore I would expect a lot of noisy trading, but I still think that the overall attitude is one that suggests there will be buyers sooner or later in this market.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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