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S&P 500 Analysis: Elevated Terrain Maintained on Positive Outlook

By Robert Petrucci

Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services....

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On Friday of last week the S&P 500 traded near the 6,485.00 level. Yesterday’s session in the index did see some selling produced, but the higher elements of the S&P 500 known range remained solidly intact. As of this morning the index is around 6,437.00.

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The ability of the S&P 500 to maintain its higher levels is evident when a one month chart is looked at and record values are contemplated. The S&P 500 traded near 6,495.00 on the 14th of August which was an all-time high. While the other U.S equity indices like the Nasdaq 100 are performing well too, the S&P 500 may be producing the most stable outcomes for day traders.

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Quick Trading but Calmer Seas Compared to Others

The S&P 500 has offered traders the ability to speculate in somewhat calmer seas compared to the Nasdaq 100 over the past month. While tech stocks have been very volatile, the more conservative companies within the S&P 500 are behaving more tranquilly in recent weeks. This is not guaranteed to remain a fact, but it does open the door for more conservative traders to look at the S&P 500 with a relatively comfortable mindset.

The S&P 500 remains within sight of its all-time highs seen less than two weeks ago. Thursday will produce U.S GDP numbers, and the growth and inflation statistics will be used by large investors and cause reactions. If the index is able to maintain its current higher territory going into Thursday’s trading this will set the table for fast results. If positive numbers via the U.S economic statistics are perceived this may create the ability for the S&P 500 to go into the Labor Day weekend on a positive note.

Wagering on Upside and Staying with the Trend

Price action in the S&P 500 has remained positive since April. Certainly the value of the index can drop and this can happen quickly. Day traders should not bet blindly on the potential of an upside trend continuing forever.

  • However, betting against the trend at this juncture is highly questionable.
  • If a speculator believes downside price action is going to develop it is likely based on short-term technical perceptions that resistance will cause momentary selling.
  • For the moment the S&P 500 continues to look bullish and traders pursuing upside may want to continue their buying wagers.
  • Conservative leverage should be used, cashing out winning bets if they are accomplished is recommended for people without deep pockets.
  • The range of 6,440 to 4,460.00 may continue to be a testing ground near-term.
  • If a move above 4.460.00 starts to sustain, it could indicate more buying will ensue.
  • The remainder of this week will prove interesting for the S&P 500 as GDP numbers loom and the Labor Day holiday approach.

S&P 500 Short-Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 6,442.00

Current Support: 6,434.00

High Target: 6,463.00

Low Target: 6,428.00

Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

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