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S&P 500 Analysis: Slightly Lower as Buying Remains Speculative Option

By Robert Petrucci

Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services....

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Near the 6,445.00 vicinity in early futures trading, the S&P 500 has been pushed lower the past couple of days, but it remains within its higher parameters and support levels may begin to look attractive to speculators.

S&P 500 Analysis Today 19/08: Slightly Lower (Chart)

The S&P 500 has seen a downturn since Friday, but this has happened after record highs of 6,495.00 were seen. Yes, the stock index has had selling develop, but the current values of 6,445.00 in the S&P 500 does not mean speculators should be selling with abandon. The S&P 500 remains within sight of record highs and the move lower the past day and a half can be compared to removing foam from a delicious drink which is waiting to be sipped upon again.

A speculator could certainly decide that now is the time to pursue selling positions of the S&P 500 and seek perceived support levels below technically. But considering the trend of the broad stock market the past handful of months and the notion that the S&P 500 remains within its highest realms, may cause even a bearish trader to be cautious about getting too ambitious regarding downwards momentum.

Looking for Higher Terrain via Support Levels

Day trading is vastly different compared to mid and long-term investing. Speculating on the daily gyrations of the S&P 500 is gambling compared to longer endeavors which simply seek the ability of the index to move higher incrementally over a period of time that allows for intraday dramatics to be forgotten. Speculators who are looking for short-term wagers need to find trends that take advantage of sentiment that is propelling the S&P 500 short-term, but they must also be lucky enough to get into a position at the right time.

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The notion that the S&P 500 will reverse from its sudden downturn is logical, but figuring out where technical support levels will start to activate buying is never a 100% guarantee. The 6,440.00 vicinity looks like it could become sticky when a five day chart is considered as a support level, but cautious traders looking for the S&P 500 to start creating upwards traction may want to consider the 6,435.00 to 6,430.00 ratios also.

Near-Term Impetus for Sentiment in the S&P 500

Investors may continue to look at the Federal Reserve as a driver of sentiment in the broad markets. Besides the notion that long-term players in the S&P 500 are buying the index based on their belief that it is a solid investment, the Fed’s rhetoric in the coming days is likely to affect mid-term outlook regarding interest rates and yields – which creates momentum for the broad markets via asset allocation.

  • Looking for upside from the S&P 500 is the favorable option, but timing when a consistent buying trend is going to emerge in order to take advantage, remains difficult for short-term wagers.
  • Solid risk taking tactics need precise use of entry, stop loss and take profit orders to engage.
  • Looking for the S&P 500 to surge with velocity is too ambitious, but looking for upside buying to emerge near-term could prove worthwhile considering the index’s performance the past handful of months.

S&P 500 Short-Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 6,450.00

Current Support: 6,440.00

High Target: 6,478.00

Low Target: 6,427.00

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Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

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