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S&P 500 Analysis: New Highs as Apex Levels are Challenged and Toppled

By Robert Petrucci

Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services....

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The S&P 500 is within record all-time territory as the 6,300.00 level is now being flirted with and early trading in futures markets this morning shows risk appetite is spurring on buying.

S&P 500 Analysis 15/07: New Highs as Apex Levels (chart)

Day traders of U.S equity indices are likely feeling a rush of excitement. The S&P 500 is within record territory as the 6,300.00 is being legitimately challenged and appears ready to be toppled by investors. Speculators of CFDs within the S&P 500 may feel attracted to this rush upwards, but they should also take note and remember like all other assets, U.S equity indices including the S&P 500 can also reverse lower quickly. The current price of the futures market – depending on the broker’s platform – is near 6,293.00.

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The temptation to bet on the upwards momentum in the S&P 500 is logical, but strict risk taking tactics are needed. The 6,300.00 level in early futures trading this morning is clearly being targeted and it does appear ready to be conquered. However there are no guaranteed one way avenues for day traders, particularly when their timeframes due to too much leverage or the cost of holding a position overnight may be obstacles. Conservative wagering on the S&P 500 is a good place to start pursuit of the index. Support levels around the 6,288.00 area should be watched.

Betting Against the Trend

Contrarians may believe betting against the upwards trend in the S&P 500 is a good way to attain quick hitting profits, this by using technical resistance and trying to pocket some momentary downside selling. But the question day traders should ask themselves is if they really want to bet against the trend. Investors clearly seem to be buying into equity indices at this time via their strong mid-term outlooks, day traders may want to try and ride the train upwards that is being created.

Yes, there are risk events ahead. The U.S will release inflation data today and tomorrow. The CPI and PPI result will play into short and near-term outlook because of the effect the inflation statistics could have on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision late in July. There are also shadows being created by President Trump’s ability to speak loudly about tariffs – which face another deadline on the 1st of August. Yet, the S&P 500 does appear on an upwards climb, so behavioral sentiment may continue to create buying power.

6,300.00 and Beyond

If traders are able to topple the 6,300.00 level and sustain price action above today, this could fuel more buying. The S&P 500 has been able to maintain values above the 6,200.00 ratio rather consistently since the end of June with strong velocity.

  • Yes, the S&P 500 can move lower and it will.
  • But short-term reversals downwards, even rather consistent lower near-term price action, will find it hard to dispel the notion that speculators and investors may believe now is the time to create more bullish traction.
  • Day traders looking for upside should not get overly ambitious and be willing to cash out profits.
  • Higher ratios in the S&P 500 are tempting, using take profit orders to accomplish positive results should be practiced, along with stop losses to protect against sudden reversals lower.

S&P 500 Short-Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 6,296.00

Current Support: 6,288.00

High Target: 6,312.00

Low Target: 6,280.00

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Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

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