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EUR/USD Forecast: Traders Watch Trendline Support

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • During the trading session on Friday, we have seen the euro drift a little bit lower during the trading session, forming what could be thought of as a potential “double top.”
  • That being said, I also have a trendline on the chart that I’m watching, so I’m not necessarily interested in shorting until we break not only that, but a few other levels underneath.

EUR/USD Forecast 28/07: Traders Watch Trendline (Chart)

On the upside, the 1.18 level is an area that could be the potential “double top”, but if we break above there then it obviously negates the entire negativity of the chart, and we probably go looking to the 1.20 level. We are in an uptrend, so one would assume that’s the most likely path of least resistance is to the upside, but we will have to wait and see.

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Federal Reserve and European Central Bank

One thing that you need to keep in mind for this market is that both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are in the spotlight. After all, the ECB this week suggested that they might be in a bit of a holding pattern, and the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates next week. In other words, this is a situation where both banks are just essentially stuck with what they are going to be doing. This does lead to a sideways market from everything I see, but I do have a couple of levels that I’ll be watching to determine where and in which direction I will be trading next.

I see a big uptrend line that we are a few days away from challenging, so all be watching that, and then we have an area that I think is a “zone of support” between the 1.16 level and the 1.15 level. It’s also worth noting that the 50 Day EMA sits in that same region as well, so it should hold up quite nicely as support. If it does not, I will start aggressively shorting this pair. If we break above the 1.18 level, then it opens up a move to the 1.20 level like as stated previously.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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