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USD/TRY Analysis: Pair Experiences Sharp Volatility

By DailyForex.com Team

The DFX Team at DailyForex is a group of veteran financial analysts, traders, and brokerage industry experts dedicated to producing in-depth broker reviews and cutting-edge market insights, plus analysis of market trends. Holding over 16 years of experience in global financial markets, and 4 B.A. level academic qualifications in relevant degrees, we conduct thorough, unbiased evaluations of brokers to enable traders make informed decisions, using...

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The USD/TRY pair experienced severe volatility in the latest session, with its price significantly dropping from opening levels of 0.0371 to close at 0.0255. Statistically, this represents a 31.38% decline. This sharp fall indicates strong selling pressure on the Turkish Lira or significant pricing changes, possibly linked to internal factors like sudden monetary policies, or external factors such as global dollar movements.

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TRYUSD technical Analysis and Expectations Today:

Technically, the pair's overall trend has sharply turned bearish after a clear break of all previous support levels. The price touched its lowest level at 0.0255, which currently represents a pivotal support that needs close monitoring. Technical indicators reflect a clear oversold condition; the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is likely in areas below 30, suggesting the possibility of a temporary corrective rebound. Conversely, the MACD indicator points to continued negative momentum, supporting a scenario of further decline if buying power does not emerge.

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Suggested Entry Points:

Bullish Entry Points (in case of an upward rebound):

  • Entry Price: 0.0275
  • First Target: 0.0300
  • Second Target: 0.0335
  • Stop Loss: 0.0252

Bearish Entry Points (in case of support break and continued decline):

  • Entry Price: 0.0248
  • First Target: 0.0230
  • Second Target: 0.0215
  • Stop Loss: 0.0262

USD/TRY Trading Signals:

Given these sharp movements, the current recommendation leans towards prudent observation and careful monitoring before making a trade entry decision. Technically, the strong price movement suggests the possibility of a temporary technical rebound. Moreover, the continuation of the downward trend remains intact unless the price manages to move back above the 0.0300 resistance levels.

TRYUSD Price Forecast for the Coming Days:

The USD/TRY pair is expected to see some stability or a technical rebound towards the 0.0280 – 0.0300 levels, especially if the dollar continues to consolidate globally and clear buying signals emerge. However, if pressure on the Turkish Lira persists, the price might break 0.0250 levels and seek new lows below 0.0230 in the next few days.

Tips for USD/TRY Traders:

Traders are advised at this stage to avoid high risks and use stop-loss orders precisely, in addition to reducing the size of open contracts. Also, it is preferable to avoid trading during important Turkish economic news. Especially, those related to central bank decisions or interest rate changes, due to their significant impact on the pair's movements.

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The DFX Team at DailyForex is a group of veteran financial analysts, traders, and brokerage industry experts dedicated to producing in-depth broker reviews and cutting-edge market insights, plus analysis of market trends. Holding over 16 years of experience in global financial markets, and 4 B.A. level academic qualifications in relevant degrees, we conduct thorough, unbiased evaluations of brokers to enable traders make informed decisions, using the most advanced methodology in the industry. Also, the DFX team is involved in generating technical analysis, signals, and trading strategies, with a consistent commitment to accuracy and transparency. Whether you’re a beginner or a professional trader, the DFX Team works to ensure you have the tools and insights you need to succeed as a trader in the retail CFD industry.

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