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USD/SGD Analysis: Week of Volatility Leads to Optimistic Bear Trend

By Robert Petrucci

Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services....

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The USD/SGD finds itself today within the lower elements of its value range and essentially testing ratios not seen since October of 2024, but volatility has been rampant and traders need caution.

USD/SGD Analysis Today 15/05: Optimistic Bear Trend (Chart)

The USD/SGD is around the 1.29875 vicinity as of this writing with quick fluctuations taking place. The fast trading conditions in the USD/SGD have been on the increase as financial institutions react to the swiftly changing sentiment regarding the fate of tariff negotiations between China and the U.S, as they find sounding boards in the media. Large traders are not immune to nervousness and changes in outlook certainly affect their mid-term perspectives.

The amount of volatility in the USD/SGD the past week likely has hurt day traders who were over leveraged and found themselves on the wrong side of direction. Both buying and selling spikes have been seen, but since touching a high around the 1.30875 mark on Monday after a surge, the USD/SGD has incrementally fallen and is now traversing its current levels as the 1.29900 level looks like it might prove a testing ground.

Short-Term Dangers as China and U.S Tariff Rhetoric are Heard

Singapore remains a key player in international trade and it works as a solid go between for China and the U.S via business. The announcement early this week that China and the U.S are officially talking has improved optimism and has certainly caused support levels to be tested. Values not seen since October of 2024 are being tested. Short-term dangers include the potential of additional lightning quick trading conditions.

Day traders are urgently reminded that using too much leverage when shifting sentiment remains abundant can lead to a quick loss of money. While the temptation to use a lot of leverage may be appealing because it can produce a large win, the opposite is also true because large losses can add up quickly. The USD/SGD now needs to find a place where financial institutions feel equilibrium is merited.

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Resistance Levels to Consider for the USD/SGD

The 1.30000 level now looks like a solid choice as a resistance indicator and sentiment guide. However, because the USD/SGD is moving quickly, traders who are optimistic that tariff developments will produce better trade negotiations may be tempted to sell the currency pair before this higher level is tested.

  • Yes, there is a storm still shadowing trade discussions between China and the U.S, but if conditions remain optimistic some traders may look at long-term charts for perspectives and selling impetus.
  • The belief that 1.29700 to 1.29500 levels are legitimate targets appears to be real and that is why they have been tested on last Friday and earlier today.
  • Traders need to remain cautious and not get overly confident, but looking for downside after technical resistance is tested near-term may remain a wagering platform some want to pursue.
  • Sentiment is ruling the USD/SGD and traders need to be careful about surprise news developing.

Singapore Dollar Short Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 1.29780

Current Support: 1.29940

High Target: 1.30110

Low Target: 1.29425

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Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

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