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Gold Analysis: Renewed Tensions to Support Further Gains

By Mahmoud Abdallah

Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of tra...

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Today’s Gold Analysis Overview:

  • The overall Gold Trend: Tends towards an upward correction.
  • Today's Gold Support Levels: $3278 – $3220 – $3160 per ounce.
  • Today's Gold Resistance Levels: $3345 – $3385 – $3420 per ounce.

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Today's gold trading signals update:

  • Sell Gold from the $3362 resistance level with a target of $3200 and a stop-loss of $3390.
  • Buy Gold from the $3265 support level with a target of $3350 and a stop-loss of $3210.

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Technical Analysis of Gold Price (XAU/USD) Today:

For three consecutive trading sessions, immediate gold prices have moved with strong upward momentum, with gains extending to the $3320 per ounce resistance level. The price is stabilizing near these gains at the time of writing. The upward momentum for the gold price index increased in conjunction with a decline in the US dollar, which boosted demand for the safe haven. According to gold trading platforms, gold prices have risen by 3% this week. The eyes of gold bulls are now set on the $3350 per ounce resistance.

Gold prices (XAU/USD) have climbed to reclaim the $3,300 resistance level for the second time this week. Continued uncertainty and a changing investment environment have led to some volatility in the yellow metal this week. Overall, the weaker US dollar has helped support the safe haven. This shift in sentiment away from the US dollar and towards hedges comes amid increasing tensions surrounding the US economy.

Trading Tips:

Dear TradersUp follower, the recent events in the gold market confirm the strength of our strategy of trading gold by buying on dips while monitoring the factors influencing the gold bullion market.

According to forex trading platforms, the decline in the US dollar price—resulting from decreased inflation expectations and reduced bets on US interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve—was the main catalyst behind gold's renewed rise. However, there's also the recent US credit rating downgrade. Moody's lowered the country's rating by one notch last week, citing long-term fiscal concerns and the increasing burden of debt servicing in a high-interest rate environment.

Meanwhile, the stock markets shrugged off the rating, safe-haven seekers saw it as another reason to invest heavily in gold—a traditional hedge when confidence in the stability of the United States begins to waver.

Will gold's gains continue in the coming days?

According to gold analysts' expectations, the answer is yes. Falling bond yields and a slowdown in economic data have helped rekindle gold's sparkle. Traders are increasingly hedging against risks, and it's worth noting that the price of gold has risen by over $100 per ounce in just three days, with momentum remaining strong. However, traders are closely monitoring any significant macroeconomic fluctuations. Any hint of hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve or a resurgence in US dollar strength could quickly curb its rally. For now, gold enthusiasts are back in the spotlight—and the psychological resistance level of $3,350 appears to be the next level to test. On the downside, $3,300 represents the new support level.

Furthermore, geopolitical risks have once again supported the gold market. Reports that Israel plans to strike Iranian nuclear sites have raised fears of a potential escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, as such an attack could provoke retaliatory action from Iran. Adding to geopolitical concerns, President Trump stated that Russia and Ukraine would begin ceasefire talks immediately, though he seemed to hint at stepping back from mediating the three-year conflict.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index remained weak following the Federal Reserve's cautious economic outlook and Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating due to rising debt levels. Investor confidence was further shaken by ongoing uncertainty over tariff policies and an upcoming crucial vote on Trump's major tax reforms. A weaker dollar has made gold more affordable for international buyers, boosting demand.

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Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of trading for his audience.

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