The past five days of trading have continued to see the USD/INR be sold by speculators as they take advantage of the Indian Rupee’s stronger trend. However short term traders may look at global market conditions as sentiment appears to be growing fragile and begin to look for reversals off of current support levels.
Important support looks to be the 75.6000 level and traders may be tempted to enter buying positions near this juncture for short term speculative moves of the USD/INR. While the Indian Rupee has certainly made gains in value in recent trading, the past month has also seen the USD/INR test higher resistance levels above the 76.0000 juncture. Questions remain valid regarding India’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak within its own nation, and growing fears of surging infection numbers globally will not improve short term outlooks. Risk appetite in stock indices appears fragile today and if trading globally finds itself under selling pressure, the USD/INR may find buyers looking for the safety of the US Dollar.
With current support levels near the 75.6000 ratio attractive, traders will want to make sure they have stop losses in place around the 75.5500 marks and use their leverage carefully. Support below the 75.5500 may be near 75.5000, and interestingly this juncture has not been tested in nearly two weeks. Under present market conditions support near 75.5000 appears to be a fairly strong defense if the market turns and finds the USD/INR suddenly being sold off with a flurry of selling.
Traders need to remember that short term trends change quickly and while technical factors are certainly part of this formula, influence on the broad markets short term takes places due to developing news increasingly. The ability for traders to communicate and gather information has become a huge factor and can cause bursts of volatility which must be accounted for by using solid risk management when speculating.
The USD/INR has produced a rather solid range for speculation the past month and the ability to pursue trends has been attractive. A speculative trade buying the USD/INR under present market conditions may look challenging considering the five day trend, but it also offers the perception that support at these levels be strong and ready to produce a reversal that will test resistance at higher levels.
Indian Rupee Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 75.8000
Current Support: 75.6000
High Target: 76.2000
Low Target: 75.4800
