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WTI Crude Oil and Natural Gas Forecast - 9 February 2017

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market rally during the day on Wednesday, even after we get a very bearish announcement coming out of the inventories indicator. However, the market continues to have a lot of bearish pressure in it, so I believe it’s only a matter of time before we roll over and start selling off again. The candle is reasonably strong, but I believe that we will eventually reach towards the $51 level and then the $50 level. Because of this, I’m waiting for exhaustive candles on short-term rallies to take advantage of shorting. The $54 level above continues to be resistive, and I believe that resistance extends all the way to the $55 level. On the bottom part of the chart, you can see I have the MACD shown, and it is starting to show a drop in upward momentum, so I believe it’s only a matter of time for the sellers get involved.

Crude oil

Natural Gas

Natural gas markets initially fell during the session on Wednesday, but turned around to form a hammer. The hammer of course is a bullish sign but I recognize that there is a lot of resistance above, and we certainly have a lot of bearish fundamentals out there. Because of this, I’m waiting to see whether the $3.25 level above offers enough resistance to turn the market back around. If we get an exhaustive candle in that region, I will not hesitate to start selling. Even if we break above there, I see even more resistance above there, and extending all the way to the $3.75 level, which of course is a long distance from here. In other words, this is a “so only” market as far as I can see, now I just must wait for the right trading signal.

Natural gas

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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